The only way anything will push ducks in the numbers we need.....is if the projected
low temperatures for those 3 days are actually the
high temperatures for that region.........and THEN it'd have to be that way for about a week.
Yes, it's exciting to see temperatures below freezing, especially since we've been hard-pressed to get anything below 50 for lows. But in my experience (and that's all I
have to rely on....and that hasn't been very reliable in the past 3 years), ICE MELTS, SNOW MELTS........ducks stay around the freeze line.
Who really knows where the ducks are?...........Until I see some, all reports are speculative. Yeah, I heard there were a bunch in Minnesota, too.........which tells me that if it's been warm enough for the birds to stay up there, we gonna have to have more than 3 days of freezing temperatures in Missouri to push the ducks down here.
When a body of water the ducks are using freezes.....they don't say. "O.K., guys.....time to migrate 2,000miles to the Delta"........rather, they say, "Hey, we gettin' squeezed-out......what a bitch!.......let's go over there to THAT pothole yonder, and use it 'til IT freezes over."
It takes a while for ALL THAT WATER up there to freeze enough to where it runs the ducks out.

Remember this picture? There wasn't a duck on that pothole a week before this picture was taken. The first day it had ducks there were about 2000 (low/high was 24/38). Second day......10, 000 (24/34). Third and fourth day.......12-15,000 in a hole 'bout the size of a football field(24/34 and 20/24). Fifth day........1,500 in a hole 'bout 30yds across(18/24).
The picture was taken at 8:00a.m. the sixth day. The 1500 ducks and 200 honkers flew-out to feed at 8:30a.m., fed for 45 minutes......and when they finished feeding they flew South, instead. It took us an hour to 'break-down' and when we drove back by the pothole, there was one duck in a hole in the ice 'bout the size of a paint can. 8 other ducks circled the pothole 6 times, then gave-up and flew South. 'You think the other 1491 ducks knew the pothole would be frozen by the time they finished feeding?
The
high temperature that day was 24. The
low that night was 8. The low the NEXT night was -11. By then, the ducks completely skipped ND and southern SK and wound-up in IA/SD, overnight. Now that's a significant 'push'. It's gonna take 5 or 6 of those 'events' to do us any good, now........as warm as it has been along the Canadian border over the last 3 weeks.
I guess my point is........high temps have to reach the freezing mark before there's any appreciable bird movement (the only kind that's gonna do us any good at this stage of the season).
OR, it has to get DAMN COLD, REAL QUICK (as in the circumstances surrounding the photo).
I don't mean to burst yo bubble.........I hope we get ducks enough to shoot soon, too! I'm just trying to impress upon you, how bad it has to get, before a fat-laiden duck gets squeezed-out of an area.......It's a
progression of significant weather events.......not an overnight slam-dunk.